Friday, July 10, 2009

Friday, the 10th

Good morning, everyone. I would like to thank you all again for reading and more importantly for coming back day after day. The number of visitors we get in a day makes it well worth the time it takes to put this together. The wife isn't so thrilled, but what am I going to do? It's fantasy baseball, dammit. I would like to remind you all again that even as the first half ends, the blog doesn't rest. I have lined up an All-Star crew to post their individual thoughts, opinions, and rants on this game. Coming Tuesday, they will all be posted here. I believe you will find some really good advice that will help you in your second half quest for greatness. Included in this group are many from the current leaderboard as well as past winners. Please check it out. You won't want to miss it.

YESTERDAY

Honestly, who cares about the pitching? We all had the same staff anyway, so on to the bats. It was a good day for offense with many of the big dogs putting up solid scores. My team was led by Utley and Ortiz, who both went deep. Every bat got on the board and my 38 batting points, although mediocre, bumped me back up to #11 overall, 12 points out of the elusive top ten.

TODAY

It could very well be a huge moving day, a the top staffs are split pretty much 50-50 between Lester and Haren. Oz, a distant third, is hopefully a good darkhorse as he is the man for me. With only three days left in the half, every point counts. Which staff will blow the half for many of us? Believe me when I say that someone will. Tomorrow will be diverse as well and there is a DH on Sunday. I assure you, the half is far from over. Here's my final....

C: McCann
1B: Morneau
2B: Scutaro
3B: ARod
SS: Drew
LF: Lind
CF: Wells
RF: Hawpe
DH: Sheff
PS: The Wizzard of Oz

TOMORROW

Weather:
It looks like there will be no weather tomorrow.

Teams Facing Lefty Starters:
Angels, Cards, Rays, Orioles, Nats, Pirates, White Sox, Reds, DBacks, Rangers

Teams Facing Rookie Starters:
Astros vs. Stammen (1-4 4.48 in 9 starts)

Teams Who Have Never Seen the Starter:
Dodgers, Astros, Phillies nad DBacks

Bats to Avoid:
Swisher (3-19, HR)
Tex (3-16, 2HR)
Jeter (1-11)
Melky (0-10)
Yadi (5-26, HR)
Ludwick (3-20)
Schumaker (1-12)
Greene (1-10)
Peralta (3-17, HR)
Asdrubal (1-14)
Kotsay (5-30)
Varitek (2-14)
Lugo (0-11)
B Harris (1-13)
K Johnson (1-11)
Gload (1-12)
Almezaga (1-11, HR)
Betancourt (7-43)
Griffey (3-16)

Pitchers:
Jarrod Weaver (9-3 3.15, 1.13 WHIP, 19 R in last 23 IP, 6-1 2.05 at home, 0-0 6.00 vs. NYY)
Lilly (8-6 3.32, 1.14 WHIP, 5-1 1.96 at home, 0-1 3.86 vs. StL)
Washburn (5-6 3.08, 1.10 WHIP, 4-2 2.55 at home, 0-0 6.00 vs. Tex)
Garza (6-6 3.70, less than 6 IP in 4 of last 6 starts, 0-1 4.38 vs. Oak)
Romero (7-3 2.96, 2.00 ERA in last 4 starts, 0-1 8.44 vs. Balt)
Cueto (8-5 3.45, 1.19 WHIP, 19 R in last 17 IP, vs. NYM)
Johan (9-7 3.29, 107 K in 109 IP, 6-2 2.08 at home, 1-0 1.59 vs. Cin)
Jurrjens (6-7 2.91, 3-3 2.83 on road, 1-0 1.29 vs. Col)
Marquis (11-5 3.61, Low K's, 2-0 0.00 in last 2 starts, 1-0 1.13 vs. Atl)
Cain (10-2 2.42, 1 R or less in 6 of last 8 starts, 6-1 2.32 at home, 1-0 3.00 vs. SD)
Millwood (8-6 3.34, rockes in last 2 starts, 2-5 4.39 on road, 1-0 5.14 vs. Sea)
My guess is that Cain will be the majority pick and the smart side of me says to take him for that very reason. However, my gut tells me to go with Johan even though he has not been great and the bats behind him are miserabe, so that is what I am going to do. If it works, it could be a good day. His numbers at home are what send me over the edge.

First:
Lee (3-6, 2HR)
Huff (1-3, HR vs. good lefty)
Miggy (1-3)
LaRoche (2-3, 2HR vs. lefty)
Youk (5-11)
Helton (4-9 vs. good starter)
For the price he comes in at, Lee is the best value here for me. Youk would be my second pick, byt he is cold as ice this week.

Second:
Cano (4-10 vs. good starter)
Roberts (2-2 vs. good lefty)
Pedroia (4-8)
Castillo (2-5 vs. good starter)
Lopez (13-42)
None of these guys thrill me, so I am going to step outside and take Chase vs. Ohlendorf at home. He has never faced him, but that doesn't bother me at all. No numbers are better than bad numbers.

Third:
Figgins (5-14 vs. lefty)
ARod (4-11, 3HR vs. good starter)
Longoria (1-2 vs. lefty)
Inge (1-3)
Zimmerman (1-3, HR vs. lefty)
Encarnacion (4-5, 2HR vs. good lefty)
Chipper (5-10, 3HR vs. good starter)
Cantu (3-7)
Young (20-60, 3HR vs. good lefty)
I don't like ARod vs. Weaver numbers or not and Chipper is always banged up. I think I will go with Cantu vs. what's left of Garland's arm.

Short:
Aybar (4-10 vs. lefty)
Bartlett (4-4 vs. lefty)
Zo (1-3 vs. lefty)
Tulo (3-9 vs. good starter)
I want to go with Hanley even though he is 1-6 vs. Garland, but I will take Bartlett for now and maybe upgrade later if possible.

Left:
Reimold (1-3, HR vs. good lefty)
Due to nothing of value here, I think I will risk Manny not playing for reasons only he can come up with and give him a shot vs. the Brewers' hack.

Center:
Jones (1-3, HR vs. good lefty)
Wells (2-3)
Granderson (1-3)
Sizemore (6-17, 3HR)
Guttierez (3-5, HR vs. good starter)
Hamilton (2-4, HR vs. good starter)
Grady is the only option here. None others considered.

Right:
Mags (2-5)
Hart (2-5, HR)
Guillen (9-30)
Ichiro (4-11 vs. good lefty)
Span (4-7)
I don't know why, but I never take Jason Werth. Today I will. I can't go the whole half without him. Wouldn't be prudent.

DH:
Ortiz (9-23, 4HR)
Byrd (4-11 vs. good lefty)
Easy. Papi.

Catcher:
Napoli (5-7 vs. lefty)
Kendall (3-9)
Mauer (6-19)
Benji (1-2)
I didn't realize it until now, but Napoli hits .457 vs. lefties.

As luck would have it, I do have the dough left over to get Hanley and I will do exactly that.

FINAL LINEUP


C: Napoli

1B: Lee

2B: Utley

3B: Cantu

SS: Hanley

LF: Manny

CF: Grady

RF: Werth

DH: Ortiz

PS: Johan


STAT CORNER

As we go into the final weekend, lets look at the hottest bats over the last 7 days.

Kemp .545, 0 HR, 5 RBI
Parra .417, 0 and 4
Konerko .474, 3 and 10
Posada .455, 1 and 5
Victorino .452, 1 and 8
Furcal .448, 0 and 2
Rollins .429, 1 and 7
Bloomquist .423, 1 and 5
Francisco .421, 1 and 2
Matsui .421, 2 and 8
Wells .419, 2 and 2
Garko .417 0 and 1
S Drew .412, 1 and 2
Berkman .409, 1 and 6
Dye .409 2 and 6

DISCLAIMER

My picks are just that, my picks. If you choose to follow my lead, you are welcome to do so at your own risk. Thanks as always for reading, please come again, pass the word and......

FU For Life Kerry Wood!


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